There were no bonus points handed to those who guessed that Arsenal would finish second – having now achieved that feat three successive seasons on the spin now – while Pep Guardiola’s side’s end-of-season form saw them just about claim third. Other narratives drawn up were that of Nottingham Forest’s surprise run to European qualification, while Tottenham and Manchester United slipped to their worst-ever league campaigns since the 1992 rebranding.
All of the above is still fresh in the memory, but football never sleeps, and predictions for the new season have already been drawn up. The forecasts below are compiled by a Supercomputer, with the help of Opta, which has simulated the league season based on the released fixture list and what we learned from the opening 12 weekends. Without further ado, let’s take a look at the predicted winners and losers of the 2025-26 Premier League season.
Relegation Zone
A worrying trend at the foot of the table is tipped to finally come to an end this season. In both 2023/24 and 2024/25, all three promoted sides went straight back down. But if the Supercomputer’s latest projections are correct, Sunderland will survive this time around. This does still mean, however, that Leeds United and Burnley are tipped to have their gloom turn into inevitable doom under Daniel Farke and Scott Parker. The newly-promoted duo have been predicted to finish 18th and 19th with 34 points each.
West Ham are projected to continue to suffer after Graham Potter’s sacking, which has called upon the services of Nuno Espirito Santo, and they are expected to gain only four more points than the Lilywhites to survive relegation by the skin of their teeth. This would mark a dramatic fall from grace for a team still enduring a hangover from their successful days under David Moyes.
The Supercomputer also believes Wolves – the only side still looking for their first victory after 12 attempts – will be unable to reverse early damage, as they are tipped to remain the cellar dwellers until May. There’s no surprise there, but right now, supporters at Molineux will be hoping that well-to-do new local manager Rob Edwards has the ability to work miracles.
Remarkably, the Supercomputer predicts that just nine points will separate Burnley in 19th from Nottingham Forest in 16th, setting up a relegation battle that could stretch the full 12 rounds and still be decided in the dying minutes of the final day. The Tricky Trees have only fairly recently announced the appointment of their third different manager of the season through Sean Dyche, but results aren’t expected to improve that drastically, even following a surprise 3-0 win at Anfield.
The East Midlands side now seem set to face the consequences of parting ways with Nuno Espirito Santo. Under Ange Postecoglou’s erratic management, the team failed to win any of their eight games, which included a 3-2 loss to Championship side Swansea City in the League Cup after leading 2-0. When it rains, it pours, and a 16th-place finish would be unacceptable, especially for an owner as trigger-happy as Evangelos Marinakis.
With the way things are currently going, it seems incomprehensible that Sunderland will finish as low as 15th. Indeed, that’s not a bad position given that they’ve only just returned to the topflight following a fall through the English pyramid that saw them in League one at one stage, but they currently sit seventh, having lost just three times. Right now, you wouldn’t put it past Regis Le Bris to guide the Black Cats to a top 10 finish after doing more than enough to earn a point against league leaders Arsenal.
| Position | Club | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 15. | Sunderland | 45 |
| 16. | Nottingham Forest | 43 |
| 17. | West Ham | 38 |
| 18. | Leeds United | 34 |
| 19. | Burnley | 34 |
| 20. | Wolves | 24 |
Bottom Half



Fulham’s projected 14th-place finish would see them finish one position lower than in the 2024/25 season. The Cottagers continue to struggle to break through the glass ceiling and fully realise their potential, unlike other clubs around them that have managed to kick on and evolve, with only West Ham of their London rivals being beneath them.
Everton were tipped by many fans as potential dark horses for the 2025/26 campaign. With fresh American ownership, a new stadium, and exciting attacking reinforcements like Jack Grealish arriving over the summer, manager David Moyes seemed well-equipped to start building something special at Bramley-Moore Docks.
If the Supercomputer’s prediction of a 13th-place finish proves accurate, it surely wouldn’t sit well at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Losses to Liverpool, Leeds, Man City, Wolves, and most recently Tottenham Hotspur, are among their shortcomings so far this campaign, and even then, it was felt most of those results were undeserved after having also ended Crystal Palace’s 19-game unbeaten run and nicking a win at Old Trafford despite playing most of the match with 10 men.
Manchester United have lost just once since their chastening 3-1 defeat at Brentford, but that isn’t enough to convince the Sueprcomputer that the Red Devils can finish any higher than midtable. An 11th placed finish would surely bring Ruben Amorim’s position into question, especially after signing Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Sesko, and Matheus Cunha over the summer. Currently, it seems to be his aversion to change that is costing him dearly.
Brentford, on the other hand, will be delighted if they can manage one place lower in 12th after a summer of wholesale changes saw them lose Mbuemo to the aforementioned Red Devils, Yoane Wissa to Newcastle, and perhaps most detrimentally, Thomas Frank to Tottenham. This, alongside losing key names in previous summers, set Keith Andrews up for a rescue mission like no other – but, so far, he’s delivered some important results as the Bees have maintained their steady progression.
| Position | Club | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 11. | Manchester United | 53 |
| 12. | Brentford | 52 |
| 13. | Everton | 51 |
| 14. | Fulham | 45 |
Top Half



Finishing in the top half by not even a point, with Frank only just about bettering his former side, Tottenham are tipped for a place in 10th. For any club that finished one place above the dreaded dotted line only 12 months ago, that would usually be welcomed with open arms. However, a recent breakdown between players, fans, and management has put Thomas Frank under pressure, exacerbated by a run of three home defeats in the league, followed by a 4-1 defeat at the Emirates Stadium.
Results have been steady, but performances have left much to be desired, so it will be interesting to see whether the Lilywhites can maintain their current run or slip down the standings under the growing weight of expectation.
Elsewhere, Bournemouth continue to impress under boss Andoni Iraola. In the previous campaign, the Cherries narrowly missed out on European football with a ninth-place finish. This time around, the Supercomputer has them staying there, which still wouldn’t be enough for European football, but rather a continuation of last season’s evolution and signs of things to come.
After a summer of drama, it appears that European football and signings being unable to get going will cost Newcastle United, as they are predicted to finish eighth in the league. A costly fall from a previous finish of fifth, the loss of Isak and the unreliability of Yoane Wissa and Anthony Elanga could cost the Magpies, who have been unlucky with last-minute defeats in the 2025/26 season, but were shown up in their most recent outing where they lost 3-1 to Brentford, and then showed their unpredictable side by beating Man City for the first time in Howe’s tenure.
Brighton and Hove Albion have somewhat flown under the radar so far this term, as other underdogs take on the role of overachievers – a reputation they once wore with pride under Graham Potter and Roberto De Zerbi. Under the current Fabian Hurzeler regime, however, the club now seems to be moving at a steady, expected pace – a natural consequence and sign of progress for the Seagulls as they are projected to finish seventh with 57 points.
Crystal Palace won the FA Cup – their first major honour of any kind – at the end of last season, then proved they are a force here to stay by beating Liverpool twice to kickstart another campaign of promise. They first triumphed in the Community Shield final, and then again to end Arne Slot’s 100 per cent start to the season as the Reds looked to make a quick push toward retaining their 20th league title


